网页构想:预测下一次难度变化
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如果有人能做一个页面(就像 http://www.alloscomp.com/bitcoin/calculator.php 上那个方便的计算器),预测下一次难度调整会是多少,那就很不错。
预测的难度调整倍数 =
blocks_since_last_adjustment / 2016 ------------------------------------ time_since_last_adjustment / 14_days
例如,如果只用了 3.5 天而不是 7 天,就已经走完了到下一次调整的一半进度,那么我们会预计难度翻倍:
(1008/2016) / (3.5/14) = 0.5/0.25 = 2.0
此外,它还可以显示预计下一次调整会在什么时间发生,并说明上一次调整是在什么时候以及变化了多少。
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It would be neat if someone had a page (like that handy calculator at http://www.alloscomp.com/bitcoin/calculator.php) that projects what the next difficulty adjustment will be.
projected difficulty adjustment multiplier =
blocks_since_last_adjustment / 2016 ------------------------------------ time_since_last_adjustment / 14_days
For instance, if it already got half way to the next adjustment in only 3.5 days instead of 7, we would expect difficulty to double:
(1008/2016) / (3.5/14) = 0.5/0.25 = 2.0
Also, it could show the predicted time when the next adjustment will occur, and tell when the last adjustment was and how much it changed.